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Thursday 3rd October 2024: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY (US Dollar Index):


Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish continuation towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 101.15
Supporting reasons: Overlap resistance, indicating this level could act as a significant resistance point.

1st support: 100.20
Supporting reasons: Multi-swing low support, suggesting this level may provide a strong point of support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 102.29
Supporting reasons: Overlap resistance close to 127.20% Fibonacci extension, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

EUR/USD:


Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: bearish continuation towards 1st resistance.

Pivot:  1.1081
Supporting reasons: Overlap support suggesting this level could act as a significant resistance point.

1st support: 1.0990
Supporting reasons: Pullback support is close to 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating this level may provide strong support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 1.1208
Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

EUR/JPY:


Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish continuation towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 160.71
Supporting reasons: Pullback support, indicating this level may act as a significant support point.

1st support: 158.28
Supporting reasons: An overlap support, suggesting this level could provide a strong point of support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 163.78
Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, marking a level where the price may face selling pressure if it rises.

EUR/GBP:

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 0.8388
Supporting reasons: An overlap resistance and 23.60% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting this level could act as a significant resistance point.

1st support: 0.8316
Supporting reasons: Multi-swing low support, indicating this level may provide a strong point of support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 0.8453
Supporting reasons: An overlap resistance, marking a level where the price might face selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

GBP/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support.

Pivot: 1.3316
Supporting reasons: Pullback resistance and 38.20% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting this level could act as a significant resistance point.

1st support: 1.3230
Supporting reasons: An overlap support and 50% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating this level may provide strong support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 1.3426
Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

GBP/JPY:


Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 193.33
Supporting reasons: Pullback support, indicating this level may act as a significant support point.

1st support: 189.81
Supporting reasons: An overlap support with 50% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting this level could provide strong support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 195.98
Supporting reasons: Swing high resistance, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

USD/CHF:

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.8481

Supporting reasons: Pullback support, indicating this level may act as a significant support point.

1st support: 0.8422
Supporting reasons: A pullback support, suggesting this level could provide strong support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 0.8544
Supporting reasons: A Swing high resistance, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

USD/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance.

Pivot: 145.79

Supporting reasons: Pullback support, indicating this level may act as a significant support point.

1st support: 144.27
Supporting reasons: A pullback support, suggesting this level could provide strong support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 147.86
Supporting reasons: A pullback resistance close to 127.20%m Fibonacci extension, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

USD/CAD:

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reversal off this level to fall towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 1.3540
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 50% retracement and the 61.8% projection, suggesting a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 1.3473
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where price has found support recently.

1st resistance: 1.3572
Supporting reasons: Identified as a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to a 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

AUD/USD:

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish bounce off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.6807
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements, indicating a potential level where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 0.6749
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where price could find support once more.

1st resistance: 0.6937
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

NZD/USD

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price has made a bearish break below the pivot and could potentially fall lower towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 0.6254

Supporting reasons: Previously identified as an overlap support which now has been broken due to the strong bearish momentum.

1st support: 0.6155
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 78.6% retracement indicating a potential level where price could find support again.

1st resistance: 0.6304
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

US30 (DJIA):

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish bounce off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 41,855.66

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, suggesting a potential area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound. The presence of the green Ichimoku Cloud adds further significance to the strength of the bullish momentum.

1st support: 41,432.30

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where price could find support.

1st resistance: 42,654.55

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. a 78.6% projection and a 161.8% extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

DE40 (DAX):

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish bounce off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 19,049.50
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound. The presence of the green Ichimoku Cloud adds further significance to the strength of the bullish momentum.

1st support: 18,715.40
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where price could find support once more.

1st resistance: 19,493.70
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. two 161.8% extensions, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

US500 (S&P 500): 

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially make a bullish bounce off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 5,669.89
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential area where buying interests could pick up to stage a rebound. The presence of the green Ichimoku Cloud adds further significance to the strength of the bullish momentum.

1st support: 5,600.60
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where price could find support once again.

1st resistance: 5,767.00
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the all-time high, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

BTC/USD (Bitcoin):

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could fall towards the pivot and potentially make a bullish bounce off this level to rise towards the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 59,421.33
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential level where buying interests could pick up to stage a minor rebound.

1st support: 57,935.37
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where price could find support once more.

1st resistance: 63,092.43
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

ETH/USD (Ethereum):

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price is rising towards the pivot and could potentially make a bearish reversal off this level to fall towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 2,488.71
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential level where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 2,271.00
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where price could find support once again.

1st resistance: 2,562.83
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

WTI/USD (Oil):

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could rise towards the pivot and potentially make a bearish reversal off this level to fall towards the 1st support.

Pivot: 73.03
Supporting reasons: Identified as a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential level where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 69.89
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where price could find support.

1st resistance: 74.79
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with a 127.2% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

XAU/USD (GOLD):

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish continuation towards 1st support.

Pivot: 2672.77
Supporting reasons: Multi-swing high resistance, indicating this level could act as a significant resistance point.

1st support: 2631.77
Supporting reasons: An overlap support, suggesting this level may provide a strong point of support if the price declines.

1st resistance: 2701.21
Supporting reasons: 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, marking a level where the price might encounter selling pressure if it attempts to rise.

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